StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Francisco Lindor

New York Mets · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs PHI0
09-19vs PHI0
09-18vs PHI2
09-17vs PHI0
09-16vs BAL1
09-15vs BAL1
09-14vs BAL0
09-13@ NYY0
09-12@ NYY3
09-11@ NYY1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.4
Total Bases2±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Hits0.91−0.1
08-25Hits0.92−1.1
08-19Hits0.91−0.1
08-18Total Bases1.80+1.8
07-20Total Bases1.51+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2500000000200.224.309.426.735
09-19vs PHIW 10-3410000110100.227.313.432.744
09-18vs PHIW 6-3512100000200.230.314.436.750
09-17vs PHIL 3-0300000010000.228.313.434.747
09-16vs BALL 7-1401000000200.229.314.437.751
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/11501100010000.229.314.439.754
09-14vs BALL 2-1400000010200.230.314.440.754
09-13@ NYYL 2-0300000010200.232.315.445.760
09-12@ NYYW 12-2523002500100.234.316.448.764
09-11@ NYYL 6-4501000000100.229.312.429.742
09-09@ MIAW 15-14521001301100.229.314.433.746
09-08@ MIAW 7-5421001101200.230.313.427.741
09-07@ MIAW 9-4612000000300.229.312.421.733
09-06vs SFW 4-2300000010000.228.312.422.734
09-05vs SFL 9-5500000000100.230.313.426.739
09-04vs SFW 10-6522001200100.233.317.433.749
09-02@ TBW 10-4601000000100.231.316.424.739
09-01@ TBL 6-2311001210100.232.318.429.747
08-31@ TBW 3-2400000000100.231.316.420.736
08-30vs HOUL 6-3411001100000.234.320.425.745