Francisco Alvarez
New York Mets · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:
6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs PHI2✓
09-19vs PHI2✓
09-17vs PHI0✗
09-15vs BAL0✗
09-14vs BAL1✓
09-13@ NYY1✓
09-11@ NYY0✗
09-08@ MIA1✓
09-07@ MIA1✓
09-05vs SF0✗
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2———±0.4
Total Bases1———±0.2
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-31Total Bases0.81−0.2
08-18Hits0.60+0.6
08-06Hits0.81−0.2
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | vs PHI | L 7-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .312 | .399 | .711 |
| 09-19 | vs PHI | W 10-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .229 | .310 | .398 | .708 |
| 09-17 | vs PHI | L 3-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .226 | .308 | .389 | .696 |
| 09-15 | vs BAL | L 7-5 F/11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .228 | .310 | .392 | .702 |
| 09-14 | vs BAL | L 2-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .314 | .398 | .712 |
| 09-13 | @ NYY | L 2-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .315 | .399 | .714 |
| 09-11 | @ NYY | L 6-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .230 | .315 | .400 | .715 |
| 09-08 | @ MIA | W 7-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .316 | .404 | .719 |
| 09-07 | @ MIA | W 9-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .316 | .405 | .722 |
| 09-05 | vs SF | L 9-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .315 | .407 | .722 |
| 09-04 | vs SF | W 10-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .319 | .413 | .731 |
| 09-01 | @ TB | L 6-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .317 | .392 | .709 |
| 08-31 | @ TB | W 3-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .320 | .397 | .718 |
| 08-29 | vs HOU | W 6-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .320 | .398 | .718 |
| 08-27 | vs MIL | L 8-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .321 | .397 | .718 |
| 08-26 | vs MIL | L 8-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .324 | .401 | .724 |
| 08-23 | @ CHW | L 2-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .324 | .403 | .727 |
| 08-22 | @ CHW | W 10-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .236 | .326 | .405 | .732 |
| 08-21 | @ CHW | L 6-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .236 | .325 | .408 | .733 |
| 08-19 | vs SD | W 4-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .329 | .413 | .742 |