StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Ezequiel Duran

Texas Rangers · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.6
09-20vs TOR0
09-19vs TOR0
09-19vs TOR1
09-18vs BOS0
09-17vs BOS1
09-16vs BOS2
09-13@ ARI1
09-13@ ARI1
09-12@ ARI0
09-10@ SEA0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases5±1.7
Hits3±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits0.90+0.9
09-13Total Bases1.51+0.5
08-31Hits1.11+0.1
08-20Hits0.92−1.1
07-27Total Bases1.95−3.1
07-26Total Bases1.94−2.1
07-25Total Bases1.74−2.3
07-20Total Bases1.62−0.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs TORL 7-2310000010200.264.325.431.755
09-19vs TORW 6-2400000000200.266.325.433.758
09-19vs TORW 7-1411100100000.268.327.436.764
09-18vs BOSL 4-3400000000100.268.329.436.764
09-17vs BOSW 7-3401000200201.270.331.439.770
09-16vs BOSW 4-2312000000000.271.332.441.772
09-13@ ARIW 7-6311000010100.268.330.440.769
09-13@ ARIW 6-2501000200000.268.328.440.769
09-12@ ARIL 9-1300000001000.268.330.443.772
09-10@ SEAL 4-3400000000200.270.330.445.776
09-09@ SEAL 3-2400000000000.272.333.449.782
09-09@ SEAW 10-5410000010300.275.335.453.788
09-06vs TBW 8-6513000100200.277.337.457.793
09-05vs TBL 6-3 F/10400000000000.274.334.455.789
09-05vs TBL 7-6411001100000.276.337.459.796
09-04vs TBW 6-0311000110010.276.337.454.792
09-02vs ATHL 9-2413001100000.276.336.455.791
09-02vs ATHW 8-5200000120100.272.333.446.779
09-01vs ATHW 8-1411000010000.273.331.448.779
08-30@ MILW 7-4522101300100.273.331.450.780