StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Eugenio Suarez

Cincinnati Reds · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.7
09-19vs CHC0
09-18vs CHC1
09-16vs LAD0
09-15vs LAD0
09-14vs LAD1
09-13@ MIL1
09-12@ MIL3
09-11@ MIL0
09-09@ LAD0
09-08@ LAD1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.9
Total Bases1±1.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.80+0.8
09-05Hits0.72−1.3
08-19Total Bases1.70+1.7
08-17Hits0.70+0.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs CHCL 5-2310000010100.209.305.423.729
09-18vs CHCW 6-4411000100100.211.306.426.732
09-16vs LADW 6-2200000011100.210.306.428.734
09-15vs LADL 4-0400000000300.211.305.430.735
09-14vs LADL 4-1301000000000.213.307.434.742
09-13@ MILW 4-3411001300000.213.307.435.742
09-12@ MILL 13-9433001210000.212.308.429.737
09-11@ MILL 20-0200000010100.207.302.418.721
09-09@ LADL 3-2300000010100.208.302.421.723
09-08@ LADL 6-3411001100200.209.302.424.726
09-06vs MILW 12-8310000020210.209.303.418.721
09-05vs MILW 5-3412100000000.211.302.421.723
09-04vs MILL 10-7321001310000.207.300.418.718
08-31vs SDL 5-0300000001200.206.298.410.708
08-30@ CHCW 7-5311000010000.208.299.414.712
08-29@ CHCL 17-5211001210100.207.297.414.711
08-28@ CHCW 10-8400000010300.205.294.405.699
08-26@ SFW 10-9512001400200.208.295.410.705
08-26@ SFL 3-1400000000100.205.294.402.696
08-25@ SFL 5-0401000000200.207.297.406.703