StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Esmerlyn Valdez

MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

10-Day-IL · Left Hamstring · expected back 2026-09-23

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.6
Total Bases3±2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-02Hits0.90+0.9
08-13Hits0.52−1.5
08-08Hits0.51−0.5
08-05Hits0.60+0.6
07-27Total Bases2.50+2.5
07-25Hits0.91−0.1
07-24Total Bases2.50+2.5
07-22Hits1.10+1.1
07-20Hits1.21+0.2
07-18Hits1.31+0.3