StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.1
09-20vs CHC1
09-19vs CHC0
09-18vs CHC2
09-17vs LAD0
09-16vs LAD1
09-15vs LAD2
09-14vs LAD1
09-13@ MIL2
09-12@ MIL2
09-11@ MIL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.3 we project
Home Runs0.4 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases2.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits12±0.9
Total Bases7±1.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits1.42−0.6
09-16Hits1.41+0.4
09-09Hits1.51+0.5
09-08Hits1.61+0.6
09-07Hits1.52−0.5
09-06Hits1.42−0.6
08-30Total Bases1.83−1.2
08-28Total Bases1.73−1.3
08-22Hits0.74−3.3
08-15Total Bases1.60+1.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs CHCL 9-1401000000110.285.366.515.881
09-19vs CHCL 5-2200000020100.286.367.517.884
09-18vs CHCW 6-4222000020010.287.366.519.885
09-17vs LADL 8-2400000000300.284.362.517.879
09-16vs LADW 6-2321001210000.286.364.521.885
09-15vs LADL 4-0302100010010.286.363.516.880
09-14vs LADL 4-1411001100200.284.361.514.874
09-13@ MILW 4-3522000000200.284.361.510.871
09-12@ MILL 13-9502200100200.283.361.511.872
09-11@ MILL 20-0300000010200.282.361.508.869
09-10@ LADL 14-1311001100100.283.362.511.873
09-09@ LADL 3-2412101200000.283.362.506.868
09-08@ LADL 6-3412001100210.281.361.498.859
09-06vs MILW 12-8412101420100.280.360.492.852
09-05vs MILW 5-3412001100200.278.356.484.840
09-04vs MILL 10-7513000100100.276.355.477.832
09-02vs SDW 7-3412000000100.273.353.476.829
09-01vs SDW 4-3311000010100.271.352.476.828
08-31vs SDL 5-0200000020100.270.351.477.827
08-30@ CHCW 7-5412100000200.271.350.479.828