StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Elias Diaz

Texas Rangers · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-19vs TOR0
09-17vs BOS1
09-16vs BOS1
09-13@ ARI0
09-13@ ARI3
09-09@ SEA0
09-06vs TB1
09-05vs TB0
09-05vs TB1
09-04vs TB1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits12±0.7
Total Bases4±2.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Hits0.61−0.4
09-13Hits0.60+0.6
09-12Hits0.63−2.5
09-02Hits0.51−0.5
08-31Hits0.50+0.5
08-30Total Bases0.74−3.3
08-28Hits0.50+0.5
08-25Total Bases0.90+0.9
08-23Total Bases0.74−3.3
08-21Hits0.51−0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs TORW 7-1300000010200.236.270.396.666
09-17vs BOSW 7-3401000000000.239.270.402.672
09-16vs BOSW 4-2211100200100.239.271.405.676
09-13@ ARIW 7-6300000000200.236.269.399.668
09-13@ ARIW 6-2413000100100.240.272.405.677
09-09@ SEAL 3-2300000000100.230.263.398.661
09-06vs TBW 8-6301000100100.233.267.404.671
09-05vs TBL 6-3 F/10100000000100.232.266.405.671
09-05vs TBL 7-6311001500000.233.267.407.675
09-04vs TBW 6-0301000000000.231.268.392.660
09-02vs ATHL 9-2401000000300.230.267.393.660
09-02vs ATHW 8-5311100010200.229.267.397.664
09-01vs ATHW 8-1200000100000.227.262.392.654
08-30@ MILW 7-4302200110100.230.265.397.661
08-28@ MILL 6-1100000000100.222.254.380.634
08-26@ CHWL 10-4300000010100.224.256.382.638
08-25@ CHWL 11-7000000010000.228.256.389.645
08-24@ CHWW 11-2410000001100.228.251.389.641
08-23vs LAAW 5-3211001200000.233.253.399.652
08-22vs LAAW 2-1 F/10301000000000.230.251.379.630