StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Eduardo Valencia

Detroit Tigers · DH · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.3
09-20@ CHW3
09-19@ CHW0
09-18@ CHW2
09-15@ TOR1
09-12vs COL3
09-08vs MIN1
09-07vs MIN0
09-04@ CLE1
09-02@ MIN2
08-31@ MIN0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-25Hits0.91−0.1
08-21Hits1.00+1.0
08-15Hits1.12−0.9
08-05Hits1.30+1.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CHWL 8-1403000000000.339.368.606.974
09-19@ CHWL 3-1100000000000.324.355.600.955
09-18@ CHWW 11-8432100001100.327.358.606.964
09-15@ TORW 10-1311100010000.320.346.600.946
09-12vs COLW 11-7413100010000.320.340.598.938
09-08vs MINL 3-2401000000000.301.316.581.896
09-07vs MINW 5-4100000000000.303.319.596.914
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10501000100000.307.322.602.924
09-02@ MINW 11-6 F/12612100000200.313.329.627.956
08-31@ MINL 11-1100000000100.312.329.636.965
08-29vs LADW 2-1400000000100.316.333.645.978
08-28vs LADL 2-1211100000100.333.351.6811.032
08-25vs TBW 4-1401000000200.329.347.6711.019
08-23@ KCL 11-7501000000100.333.353.6971.050
08-22@ KCL 5-2200000000100.344.365.7381.103
08-19@ PITL 4-3100000000000.356.377.7631.140
08-18@ PITL 4-1400000000200.362.383.7761.159
08-16vs CHWL 7-5200000000100.389.411.8331.244
08-15vs CHWL 4-3412001200100.404.426.8651.291
08-14vs CHWL 9-5402100100100.396.420.8331.253