StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Dustin Harris

San Diego Padres · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

10/10100% cleared overavg 1.5
09-20vs MIA1
09-20vs MIA1
09-19vs MIA2
09-17@ COL3
09-17@ COL2
09-16@ COL1
09-15@ COL1
09-13@ SF1
09-12@ SF1
09-12@ SF2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2±0.9
Total Bases1±0

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.92−1.1
09-13Total Bases1.01−0.0
09-08Hits0.80+0.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MIAW 7-3401000000000.306.363.396.759
09-20vs MIAW 7-6 F/10511100000100.308.367.402.769
09-19vs MIAW 8-2512000200210.314.374.402.776
09-17@ COLW 9-2513000300100.309.373.402.775
09-17@ COLW 9-3412010110000.293.362.391.753
09-16@ COLL 9-3201000000000.284.350.364.714
09-15@ COLW 8-7411100110010.279.347.360.707
09-13@ SFW 6-4411000000110.280.344.354.698
09-12@ SFW 7-6401000300000.282.348.359.707
09-12@ SFW 7-5322010210000.284.357.365.722
09-09vs WSHW 5-4300000000100.268.338.324.661
09-07vs WSHW 3-2300000000000.279.351.338.689
09-06vs NYYW 4-3301000000100.292.365.354.719
09-05vs NYYW 3-2 F/10010000000000.290.366.355.721
09-02@ CINL 7-3200000000100.290.366.355.721
09-01@ CINL 4-3000000010010.300.377.367.743
08-31@ CINW 5-0502000100100.300.368.367.734
08-30@ TBL 5-4 F/11201000000001.291.365.364.729
08-29@ TBL 7-6423000000010.283.361.358.719
08-26vs PITL 1-0101000000000.245.333.327.660