StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Drew Gilbert

San Francisco Giants · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared underavg 0.4
09-20@ LAD0
09-20@ LAD0
09-19@ LAD0
09-16@ STL1
09-15@ STL0
09-14@ STL0
09-13vs SD0
09-12vs SD2
09-12vs SD0
09-09vs STL1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.9
Total Bases2±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Total Bases0.90+0.9
09-13Hits0.60+0.6
09-12Hits0.62−1.4
09-03Hits0.51−0.5
08-02Hits0.70+0.7
08-01Hits0.62−1.4
07-26Total Bases1.10+1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LADL 3-1100000000000.231.323.383.706
09-20@ LADL 10-4000000001000.232.324.384.708
09-19@ LADL 8-2200000010000.232.322.384.706
09-16@ STLW 6-5 F/10111001200000.233.322.387.708
09-15@ STLW 10-3410000000100.231.320.375.695
09-14@ STLL 2-1000000010000.234.323.380.703
09-13vs SDL 6-4200000010010.234.322.380.702
09-12vs SDL 7-6422001200100.235.321.382.704
09-12vs SDL 7-5100000000100.232.319.371.691
09-09vs STLW 7-6211100000000.232.320.373.693
09-08vs STLW 5-4 F/11200000000000.231.319.369.688
09-06@ NYML 4-2400000000300.232.321.371.692
09-04@ NYML 10-6311000000000.235.325.376.701
09-03@ PITL 5-2401000000100.234.325.376.701
09-02@ PITW 5-4 F/10310000010000.234.326.378.704
08-31@ ATLW 7-3300000000100.236.326.382.708
08-30vs ARIW 7-2030000030000.239.329.386.715
08-29vs ARIL 7-1400000000000.239.323.386.709
08-29vs ARIL 10-6100000011100.242.327.391.718
08-28vs ARIW 6-1311001200000.243.324.392.717