StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Drew Cavanaugh

San Francisco Giants · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.4
09-19@ LAD0
09-15@ STL0
09-14@ STL0
09-13vs SD0
09-12vs SD1
09-12vs SD0
09-09vs STL1
09-08vs STL0
09-06@ NYM1
09-04@ NYM1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.2 we project
Total Bases0.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.6
Total Bases2±2.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Hits0.70+0.7
09-02Total Bases0.81−0.2
09-01Total Bases0.65−4.4
08-15Hits0.60+0.6
07-19Hits0.60+0.6
07-18Hits0.70+0.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19@ LADL 8-2200000000200.231.322.276.598
09-15@ STLW 10-3410000010300.235.327.280.607
09-14@ STLL 2-1000000010000.242.331.289.620
09-13vs SDL 6-4100000010100.242.326.289.615
09-12vs SDL 7-6311001100000.244.324.291.615
09-12vs SDL 7-5100000000100.242.324.266.590
09-09vs STLW 7-6411000000100.244.326.268.594
09-08vs STLW 5-4 F/11100000000100.244.328.269.597
09-06@ NYML 4-2301000000000.246.331.271.602
09-04@ NYML 10-6301000000100.243.331.270.600
09-03@ PITL 5-2100000000100.241.331.268.599
09-02@ PITW 5-4 F/10401000000200.243.333.270.604
09-01@ PITL 13-12513200200100.243.336.271.607
08-30vs ARIW 7-2200000000200.225.325.235.560
08-29vs ARIL 7-1300000000100.230.330.240.570
08-29vs ARIL 10-6100000010100.237.339.247.587
08-28vs ARIW 6-1400000000100.240.336.250.586
08-26vs CINL 10-9100000000100.250.349.261.610
08-26vs CINW 3-1303000210000.253.352.264.616
08-25vs CINW 5-0401000000200.227.327.239.565