Drake Baldwin
Atlanta Braves · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.
Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself
How often Hits cleared the under 1.5 — pick a split:
5/1050% cleared underavg 1.5
09-20@ HOU1✓
09-19@ HOU3✗
09-19@ HOU2✗
09-16@ CHC0✓
09-15@ CHC2✗
09-14@ CHC2✗
09-13vs PHI1✓
09-12vs PHI1✓
09-11vs PHI2✗
09-10vs TB1✓
Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.
Tonight’s projections
Hits1.3 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases2.0 we project
Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged
Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases9———±1.8
Hits6———±0.9
Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.
Predicted vs actual — recent
DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Total Bases1.83−1.2
09-14Total Bases1.82−0.3
09-13Total Bases1.81+0.8
09-09Hits1.31+0.3
09-08Hits1.21+0.2
08-26Hits1.03−2.0
08-21Hits1.10+1.1
08-18Total Bases1.55−3.5
08-17Total Bases1.43−1.6
08-15Total Bases1.32−0.7
Full game log — via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 | @ HOU | W 4-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .282 | .356 | .456 | .813 |
| 09-19 | @ HOU | W 6-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .282 | .356 | .458 | .814 |
| 09-19 | @ HOU | W 6-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .354 | .455 | .809 |
| 09-16 | @ CHC | L 8-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .352 | .452 | .804 |
| 09-15 | @ CHC | W 6-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .280 | .354 | .456 | .810 |
| 09-14 | @ CHC | L 7-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .354 | .451 | .804 |
| 09-13 | vs PHI | L 9-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .351 | .449 | .800 |
| 09-12 | vs PHI | W 12-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .352 | .451 | .803 |
| 09-11 | vs PHI | W 6-5 F/11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .354 | .451 | .805 |
| 09-10 | vs TB | W 3-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .352 | .450 | .802 |
| 09-09 | vs TB | L 7-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .353 | .452 | .804 |
| 09-08 | vs TB | L 7-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .352 | .446 | .798 |
| 09-07 | @ PHI | L 1-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .353 | .448 | .800 |
| 09-06 | @ PHI | W 5-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .355 | .451 | .807 |
| 09-05 | @ PHI | L 4-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .355 | .450 | .805 |
| 09-04 | @ PHI | W 5-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .354 | .449 | .803 |
| 09-02 | @ WSH | W 9-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .355 | .452 | .807 |
| 09-01 | @ WSH | L 9-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .357 | .456 | .813 |
| 08-31 | vs SF | L 7-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .358 | .456 | .813 |
| 08-30 | vs COL | W 3-2 F/10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .277 | .356 | .453 | .810 |