StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Dillon Dingler

Detroit Tigers · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.7
09-19@ CHW1
09-18@ CHW1
09-17@ CHW1
09-16@ TOR0
09-14@ TOR1
09-13vs COL0
09-11vs COL1
09-09vs MIN1
09-07vs MIN0
09-06@ CLE1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±1.2
Total Bases5±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-01Hits0.71−0.3
08-29Hits0.61−0.4
08-06Hits1.33−1.7
08-05Hits1.22−0.8
08-02Hits1.12−0.9
07-28Total Bases1.90+1.9
07-27Total Bases1.91+0.9
07-26Hits1.02−1.0
07-23Total Bases2.13−0.9
07-22Total Bases2.11+1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19@ CHWL 3-1401000000100.243.301.450.751
09-18@ CHWW 11-8311000100200.242.301.451.752
09-17@ CHWL 3-1401100000000.242.301.452.753
09-16@ TORL 5-1400000000000.242.302.451.753
09-14@ TORW 6-5411000100200.244.304.455.759
09-13vs COLW 8-1400000000100.244.304.456.761
09-11vs COLW 6-2411001200200.246.306.460.766
09-09vs MINW 7-2301000200100.246.307.456.762
09-07vs MINW 5-4400000000300.245.307.457.764
09-06@ CLEL 3-2 F/10401000000000.247.309.460.769
09-05@ CLEW 6-0400000100200.247.310.462.772
09-04@ CLEL 4-3 F/10301100000100.249.313.466.778
09-04@ CLEL 7-6401000000000.248.312.464.777
09-01@ MINL 15-2411000000000.248.313.466.779
08-31@ MINL 11-1400000000100.248.313.468.781
08-30vs LADL 6-1200000010100.251.316.472.788
08-29vs LADW 2-1401000000300.252.316.474.789
08-28vs LADL 2-1400000000100.252.316.476.792
08-26vs TBL 3-0301000000000.254.319.480.798
08-25vs TBW 4-1401000000100.253.318.481.799