StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Derek Hill

Philadelphia Phillies · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits6±0.8
Total Bases4±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-15Total Bases0.90+0.9
09-05Hits0.42−1.6
09-01Hits0.41−0.6
08-30Total Bases0.51−0.5
08-28Hits0.41−0.6
08-22Hits0.31−0.7
08-15Hits0.31−0.7
08-10Hits0.30+0.3
07-21Total Bases1.20+1.2
07-18Total Bases1.20+1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-18@ NYML 6-3311001100000.246.297.451.748
09-15@ WSHL 6-3300000000100.245.296.438.734
09-11@ ATLL 6-5 F/11201100310000.249.300.444.745
09-08vs HOUL 6-5200000000100.246.295.439.734
09-06vs ATLL 5-4211001100000.249.298.443.741
09-05vs ATLW 4-2412010000100.246.296.426.722
09-04vs ATLL 5-2200000000000.240.292.413.705
09-02@ ARIW 7-1301000000100.243.295.418.713
08-30@ LAAW 5-2401000000100.241.294.420.714
08-29@ LAAW 5-3201000100000.241.295.424.719
08-22vs STLW 12-3201100100000.238.293.423.715
08-21vs STLW 7-6 F/10100000000000.235.291.416.706
08-17vs MIAW 6-5101000210000.236.292.418.710
08-16@ MINW 7-5010000000000.232.284.415.699
08-15@ MINW 9-1501000000200.232.284.415.699
08-11@ STLL 2-0000000000010.233.287.421.708
08-10@ STLW 6-5410000000200.233.287.421.708
08-09vs TORW 7-6 F/12401000100100.239.293.432.726
08-05vs WSHL 10-4 F/11210000000010.238.294.437.732
08-03vs WSHW 6-3311001400000.242.298.443.741