StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Denzer Guzman

Los Angeles Angels · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs MIN0
09-20vs MIN1
09-19vs MIN0
09-18vs MIN1
09-17vs SEA4
09-16vs SEA0
09-15vs SEA1
09-13@ WSH0
09-12@ WSH1
09-11@ WSH0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.8
Total Bases2±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Hits0.60+0.6
09-12Hits0.61−0.4
09-11Hits0.60+0.6
09-09Hits0.53−2.5
09-08Hits0.51−0.5
08-24Hits0.70+0.7
08-15Hits0.70+0.7
08-08Hits0.61−0.4
07-20Total Bases1.20+1.2
07-18Total Bases1.40+1.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MINL 8-0200000010100.225.270.340.609
09-20vs MINW 6-5 F/11421000010000.227.269.342.611
09-19vs MINL 3-0400000000000.227.267.344.610
09-18vs MINW 5-4 F/10401000100100.230.271.349.620
09-17vs SEAL 7-2514000000000.230.271.351.622
09-16vs SEAW 2-1400000000300.218.261.342.602
09-15vs SEAW 6-4401000200000.222.265.347.612
09-13@ WSHL 6-5400000000300.221.265.349.614
09-12@ WSHL 6-5 F/10311100110000.225.269.355.624
09-11@ WSHL 4-3300000000100.224.266.351.616
09-09@ BOSW 6-4423001100000.227.269.356.624
09-08@ BOSW 6-1411000000200.217.261.335.596
09-07@ BOSL 5-2100000000000.217.261.336.597
09-06@ PITL 1-0100000000000.218.262.338.600
09-05@ PITW 6-1411000000200.219.263.340.603
08-30vs PHIL 5-2300000000100.218.263.341.605
08-30vs PHIL 4-2 F/10411000000000.221.267.346.613
08-29vs PHIL 5-3300000000200.221.267.348.615
08-26vs CLEL 4-3210000020000.224.271.353.624
08-26vs CLEL 8-6 F/10511100100300.226.267.357.623