StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Denzel Clarke

Athletics · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared underavg 0.2
09-20@ CLE0✓
09-19@ CLE0✓
09-17@ TB1✗
09-13vs SEA0✓
09-12vs SEA0✓
09-08vs TOR0✓
09-06@ SEA0✓
09-02@ TEX1✗
09-02@ TEX0✓
04-21@ SEA0✓

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits2———±0.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.30+0.3
09-02Hits0.41−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0200000000100.159.247.174.421
09-19@ CLEL 12-6000000010000.164.253.179.432
09-17@ TBL 10-1201000010120.164.243.179.422
09-13vs SEAL 19-1000000010000.154.225.169.395
09-12vs SEAW 6-5 F/10000000000000.154.214.169.384
09-08vs TORW 6-5200000000200.154.214.169.384
09-06@ SEAW 6-2400000000000.159.221.175.395
09-02@ TEXW 9-2411000010000.169.234.186.421
09-02@ TEXL 8-5200000000000.164.220.182.402
04-21@ SEAW 6-4000000000000.170.228.189.417
04-19vs CHWL 7-4200000000200.170.228.189.417
04-18vs CHWW 7-6 F/11100000010010.176.236.196.432
04-18vs CHWL 9-2301000000200.180.226.200.426
04-16vs TEXL 9-6100000000000.170.220.191.411
04-16vs TEXW 6-5301000100110.174.224.196.420
04-15vs TEXW 2-1311100000200.163.217.186.403
04-14vs TEXL 8-1200000000200.150.209.150.359
04-12@ NYMW 1-0300000000100.158.220.158.377
04-11@ NYMW 11-6411000110100.171.237.171.408
04-10@ NYMW 4-0401000200100.161.212.161.373