StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Connor Norby

Colorado Rockies · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.5
09-20vs SEA0
09-20vs SEA2
09-19vs SEA3
09-17vs SD1
09-17vs SD1
09-15vs SD2
09-12@ DET3
09-11@ DET1
09-10@ NYY0
09-09@ NYY2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.5
Total Bases2±1.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-01Total Bases1.50+1.5
08-31Total Bases1.60+1.6
08-18Hits0.61−0.4
08-17Hits0.51−0.5
08-15Hits0.41−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SEAL 2-1400000000200.242.341.377.718
09-20vs SEAW 5-3412000000100.245.344.382.727
09-19vs SEAL 5-4413000110010.242.343.381.723
09-17vs SDL 9-2401000100110.235.336.376.712
09-17vs SDL 9-3311100001000.235.337.377.715
09-15vs SDL 8-7512200200000.234.335.375.710
09-12@ DETL 11-7513100000100.231.334.367.702
09-11@ DETL 6-2401000010100.225.330.360.690
09-10@ NYYL 10-3300000010200.225.329.361.691
09-09@ NYYL 6-1312101100100.227.330.365.696
09-08@ NYYL 5-3100000000100.222.327.348.675
09-06vs STLL 10-8200000000200.223.328.349.677
09-06vs STLW 10-7221000121000.225.330.351.682
09-05vs STLL 7-6412000000000.223.323.350.673
09-02vs BALW 6-5 F/11510000000200.219.321.348.669
09-02vs BALW 4-2400000000100.223.326.355.680
09-01vs BALL 2-1401000000000.226.330.360.690
08-30@ ATLL 3-2 F/10401000100200.226.331.362.693
08-29@ ATLL 2-1302000010100.225.332.364.696
08-28@ ATLL 6-4400000000100.220.326.360.686