StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Cole Carrigg

Colorado Rockies · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.4
09-20vs SEA1
09-20vs SEA1
09-19vs SEA3
09-17vs SD1
09-17vs SD0
09-16vs SD4
09-15vs SD2
09-13@ DET0
09-12@ DET0
09-11@ DET2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±1.3

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Total Bases2.11+1.1
07-28Total Bases1.62−0.4
07-26Total Bases1.54−2.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs SEAL 2-1401000000200.271.335.461.797
09-20vs SEAW 5-3401000200100.271.336.464.800
09-19vs SEAL 5-4503000100121.272.337.467.804
09-17vs SDL 9-2411000000100.266.333.465.798
09-17vs SDL 9-3400000000100.266.334.468.802
09-16vs SDW 9-3524102500101.270.338.474.813
09-15vs SDL 8-7512001100100.261.331.444.775
09-13@ DETL 8-1400000000300.258.330.434.764
09-12@ DETL 11-7400000000100.262.334.440.774
09-11@ DETL 6-2402000000000.266.339.446.785
09-10@ NYYL 10-3301100000200.262.337.446.782
09-09@ NYYL 6-1300000010200.261.337.443.780
09-08@ NYYL 5-3400000000200.264.338.448.786
09-06vs STLL 10-8411000000200.268.342.455.798
09-06vs STLW 10-7412000100110.269.344.458.802
09-05vs STLL 7-6512011100100.265.342.458.799
09-02vs BALW 6-5 F/11513100100100.262.341.439.779
09-02vs BALW 4-2400000000000.255.336.431.767
09-01vs BALL 2-1100000000000.260.341.438.779
08-30@ ATLL 3-2 F/10200000000100.261.342.440.782