StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

CJ Abrams

Washington Nationals · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ STL1
09-19@ STL0
09-19@ STL1
09-16vs PHI1
09-13vs LAA2
09-12vs LAA2
09-11vs LAA2
09-09@ SD0
09-09@ SD0
09-07@ SD0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases6±1.8
Hits5±1.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-13Hits0.82−1.2
09-12Hits0.72−1.3
08-27Total Bases1.51+0.5
08-15Hits0.90+0.9
08-01Hits1.31+0.3
07-28Total Bases3.01+2.0
07-27Total Bases3.20+3.2
07-26Hits1.43−1.6
07-25Total Bases2.67−4.4
07-24Total Bases2.52+0.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ STLL 5-3411001200110.261.336.492.828
09-19@ STLW 8-5 F/11500000010020.261.337.488.825
09-19@ STLW 9-1411000100110.264.338.493.831
09-16vs PHIL 3-0401100000000.264.339.495.833
09-13vs LAAW 6-5412100000000.264.339.494.834
09-12vs LAAW 6-5 F/10512100100011.262.338.493.831
09-11vs LAAW 4-3412100000100.261.338.492.829
09-09@ SDL 9-2400000000300.259.337.490.826
09-09@ SDL 5-4310000010100.261.339.493.832
09-07@ SDL 3-2400000000100.262.340.496.836
09-07@ LADL 7-5411001110200.264.342.500.842
09-06@ LADL 6-5411000010310.265.341.496.837
09-05@ LADL 5-3400000000100.265.341.498.839
09-02vs ATLL 9-0400000000100.267.343.502.845
09-01vs ATLW 9-5412000210110.269.346.506.852
08-30vs MIAL 6-2400000000300.267.343.506.849
08-29vs MIAW 5-4 F/10500000000300.269.346.510.856
08-28vs MIAW 9-2310000010100.272.349.515.864
08-27vs COLW 7-1411000010200.274.350.519.868
08-26vs COLL 13-1400000000000.274.349.521.870