StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Christopher Morel

New York Mets · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±0.5
Hits2±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-06Total Bases0.60+0.6
09-04Hits0.50+0.5
08-31Hits0.51−0.5
08-27Total Bases0.61−0.4
08-23Total Bases0.70+0.7
08-18Total Bases0.71−0.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2100000000000.181.238.255.493
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/11300000000000.183.240.258.498
09-11@ NYYL 6-4200000100100.189.247.267.514
09-09@ MIAW 15-14433101300100.193.253.273.525
09-04vs SFW 10-6200000000100.167.231.202.433
08-31@ TBW 3-2301000000100.171.236.207.443
08-30vs HOUL 6-3100000000000.165.233.203.435
08-27vs MILL 8-2201000110000.167.235.205.440
08-26vs MILL 8-1200000000100.158.220.197.417
08-25vs MILW 3-2 F/10200000000000.162.225.203.428
08-23@ CHWL 2-1100000000100.167.231.208.439
08-18vs SDL 5-2301000010000.169.234.211.445
06-10vs ARIW 8-0400000000100.162.219.206.425
06-03@ WSHW 4-1201000000100.172.232.219.451
05-30@ NYML 6-1310000010300.161.224.210.434
05-27@ TORL 2-1301000000200.169.222.220.443
05-24vs NYMW 4-0401100000100.161.217.214.431
05-21vs ATLL 9-3301000010200.154.214.192.407
05-20vs ATLL 9-1300000000000.143.192.184.376
05-19vs ATLL 8-4401100000300.152.204.196.400