StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Christian Koss

San Francisco Giants · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ LAD0
09-20@ LAD0
09-19@ LAD0
09-16@ STL1
09-15@ STL3
09-14@ STL0
09-13vs SD2
09-12vs SD1
09-12vs SD0
09-09vs STL2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.6
Total Bases3±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-07Hits0.71−0.3
09-03Hits0.60+0.6
09-02Total Bases0.91−0.1
08-24Hits0.72−1.3
08-19Hits0.70+0.7
08-15Hits0.61−0.4
08-11Hits0.51−0.5
08-09Hits0.41−0.6
08-04Total Bases0.40+0.4
08-03Hits0.41−0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ LADL 3-1300000000200.228.272.321.592
09-20@ LADL 10-4300000000000.232.276.326.602
09-19@ LADL 8-2300000000200.236.280.331.612
09-16@ STLW 6-5 F/10411000000100.240.285.337.622
09-15@ STLW 10-3503000200000.240.286.339.625
09-14@ STLL 2-1400000000200.229.277.331.608
09-13vs SDL 6-4412000100120.235.283.340.623
09-12vs SDL 7-6311000000000.228.278.335.614
09-12vs SDL 7-5110000020000.226.277.335.613
09-09vs STLW 7-6302000000010.227.270.338.608
09-09vs STLW 2-1312001100100.219.263.331.594
09-08vs STLW 5-4 F/11311000010000.209.255.304.559
09-06@ NYML 4-2300000000000.207.248.303.552
09-05@ NYMW 9-5422002300000.211.253.310.563
09-04@ NYML 10-6321000010100.203.247.261.507
09-03@ PITL 5-2300000000000.200.239.259.499
09-02@ PITW 5-4 F/10421000000000.205.245.265.510
09-01@ PITL 13-12522000100100.203.244.266.510
08-31@ ATLW 7-3300000000100.195.238.260.499
08-30vs ARIW 7-2300000000100.200.244.267.511