StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Baltimore Orioles · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 1
09-20vs MIL0
09-19vs MIL0
09-18vs MIL0
09-16@ NYM3
09-15@ NYM2
09-14@ NYM1
09-13@ TOR1
09-12@ TOR0
09-11@ TOR3
09-09vs CLE0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.9 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.8
Total Bases1±1.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits1.00+1.0
09-09Hits1.00+1.0
09-06Hits1.01−0.0
09-02Hits1.00+1.0
08-30Total Bases1.90+1.9
08-07Hits0.90+0.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs MILL 3-0000000010000.267.320.500.820
09-19vs MILL 1-0400000000100.267.316.500.816
09-18vs MILL 6-5 F/10300000101200.273.323.511.834
09-16@ NYMW 7-1433201200100.277.326.520.846
09-15@ NYMW 7-5 F/11522001100100.266.317.485.802
09-14@ NYMW 2-1401100000200.262.315.470.784
09-13@ TORL 8-1401000000100.263.316.469.785
09-12@ TORL 7-3300000010000.263.318.474.792
09-11@ TORW 7-4413000000100.268.319.484.803
09-09vs CLEW 9-5310000101200.255.309.477.785
09-08vs CLEL 9-5000000001000.260.310.486.796
09-07vs CLEW 6-4410000010100.260.306.486.792
09-06vs BOSL 3-1401100100300.268.309.500.809
09-05vs BOSL 5-0401100000200.268.311.500.811
09-04vs BOSL 1-0401000000000.269.313.500.813
09-03vs BOSL 6-5312001210100.269.314.508.822
09-02@ COLL 6-5 F/11100000000000.260.301.480.782
09-02@ COLL 4-2401000000001.262.304.484.788
09-01@ COLW 2-1100000000000.262.305.492.797
08-30@ ATHW 8-5400000000200.264.308.496.804