StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Chase DeLauter

Cleveland Guardians · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20vs ATH1
09-19vs ATH2
09-18vs ATH1
09-14vs CHW0
09-13@ MIN1
09-12@ MIN0
09-12@ MIN0
09-09@ BAL2
09-04vs DET0
09-04vs DET2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.1 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases4±1.2
Hits2±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-01Hits1.20+1.2
07-26Total Bases2.20+2.2
07-24Total Bases2.22+0.2
07-23Total Bases2.20+2.2
07-22Hits1.31+0.3
07-19Total Bases2.12+0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs ATHW 1-0301000010000.291.364.457.821
09-19vs ATHW 12-6522001300100.290.363.458.821
09-18vs ATHW 5-3301000010000.289.363.452.815
09-14vs CHWL 7-3300000010010.289.362.453.815
09-13@ MINW 9-2401000010000.291.363.456.818
09-12@ MINL 4-3300000010100.291.363.457.820
09-12@ MINW 5-2400000010100.293.363.460.824
09-09@ BALL 9-5512001200000.296.365.464.830
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10200000000100.294.365.458.823
09-04vs DETW 7-6312200010010.296.366.460.827
09-03vs TORL 6-3501100000000.293.363.455.818
09-02vs TORL 11-0403100000000.294.365.455.820
09-01vs TORW 6-1400000000200.290.362.450.812
08-30vs KCW 11-1434200100000.293.365.454.819
08-29vs KCL 8-3400000000200.286.359.444.804
08-28vs KCL 3-0401000000200.289.362.449.811
08-26@ LAAW 4-3101000000000.289.363.451.814
08-26@ LAAW 8-6 F/10100000000100.287.362.449.811
08-23@ COLW 7-2423020210000.288.363.450.813
08-23@ COLW 4-3310000010200.284.358.438.796