StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Chandler Simpson

Tampa Bay Rays · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20vs BOS1
09-19vs BOS2
09-18vs BOS0
09-17vs ATH2
09-16vs ATH2
09-15vs ATH3
09-13vs HOU1
09-12vs HOU1
09-11vs HOU0
09-10@ ATL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.2 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.4 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.8
Total Bases4±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-04Hits1.12−0.9
08-30Hits1.30+1.3
08-21Hits1.51+0.5
08-18Hits1.52−0.5
08-02Total Bases1.43−1.6
07-31Total Bases1.41+0.4
07-26Total Bases1.62−0.4
07-21Total Bases1.64−2.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs BOSW 5-1301000200010.309.337.360.696
09-19vs BOSW 2-1402000000000.309.337.360.697
09-18vs BOSL 4-2500000000010.308.336.359.694
09-17vs ATHW 10-1522000200020.311.339.362.701
09-16vs ATHW 4-3402100100010.310.338.362.700
09-15vs ATHW 2-1313100000000.308.337.359.696
09-13vs HOUW 14-4511000200000.305.333.353.687
09-12vs HOUW 3-2411000000000.306.335.355.689
09-11vs HOUW 3-1300000000000.306.335.356.691
09-10@ ATLL 3-1300000010000.308.337.358.695
09-09@ ATLW 7-2322000010010.309.338.360.697
09-08@ ATLW 7-1511000000110.307.335.358.693
09-06@ TEXL 8-6522000000010.308.336.360.695
09-05@ TEXW 6-3 F/10500000000100.308.335.359.694
09-05@ TEXW 7-6402000000100.311.338.363.701
09-04@ TEXL 6-0400000000000.309.337.362.699
09-02vs NYML 10-4412000000000.312.340.365.704
09-01vs NYMW 6-2411000000100.310.338.363.702
08-31vs NYML 3-2402000100010.311.339.364.704
08-30vs SDW 5-4 F/11300000010000.309.338.363.701