StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Bryson Stott

Philadelphia Phillies · 2B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

4/1040% cleared overavg 0.7
09-20@ NYM0
09-19@ NYM1
09-18@ NYM1
09-17@ NYM2
09-16@ WSH0
09-15@ WSH0
09-13@ ATL3
09-12@ ATL0
09-11@ ATL0
09-10vs HOU0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.7 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases6±1.2
Hits5±0.5

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Hits0.60+0.6
09-10Hits0.70+0.7
08-13Hits1.01+0.0
08-11Hits1.11+0.1
08-04Hits0.92−1.1
07-24Total Bases1.50+1.5
07-22Total Bases1.52−0.5
07-21Total Bases1.51+0.5
07-20Total Bases1.53−1.5
07-18Total Bases1.43−1.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ NYMW 7-2410000010000.248.324.387.711
09-19@ NYML 10-3401000000200.250.325.390.715
09-18@ NYML 6-3401100100000.250.326.391.717
09-17@ NYMW 3-0312100000000.250.326.390.716
09-16@ WSHW 3-0300000120010.247.324.386.711
09-15@ WSHL 6-3400000000100.248.324.389.713
09-13@ ATLW 9-4513100100100.251.326.392.718
09-12@ ATLL 12-2300000000000.247.324.388.711
09-11@ ATLL 6-5 F/11110000010100.248.325.390.716
09-10vs HOUL 2-1300000100100.249.325.391.716
09-09vs HOUW 11-7310000010100.251.327.393.720
09-08vs HOUL 6-5311000001000.252.327.396.723
09-07vs ATLW 1-0300000000100.252.326.396.722
09-06vs ATLL 5-4401000000000.253.328.399.726
09-05vs ATLW 4-2400000000200.253.328.400.728
09-02@ ARIL 1-0300000000000.255.331.403.734
09-02@ ARIW 7-1310000110010.257.333.406.739
09-01@ ARIW 2-1411001100000.259.334.409.743
08-30@ LAAW 5-2401100000100.259.335.404.738
08-30@ LAAW 4-2 F/10300000010200.259.335.403.738