StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Bryan Reynolds

Pittsburgh Pirates · LF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs KC1
09-19vs KC0
09-18vs KC2
09-17vs MIL1
09-16vs MIL0
09-15vs MIL0
09-13@ CHC2
09-12@ CHC1
09-11@ CHC1
09-10@ CHW0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-05Total Bases1.31+0.3
07-19Total Bases1.90+1.9
07-18Total Bases1.73−1.3

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs KCW 4-3301000010100.262.365.423.788
09-19vs KCW 6-5400000000100.261.364.424.788
09-18vs KCW 8-5502200000100.263.366.427.793
09-17vs MILW 7-4401100001000.262.366.424.789
09-16vs MILL 5-4400000000200.262.366.423.789
09-15vs MILL 5-1400000000200.264.368.426.794
09-13@ CHCW 4-3412000110100.266.370.429.799
09-12@ CHCL 4-3511000000200.264.368.429.797
09-11@ CHCL 12-2311001110000.265.370.431.800
09-10@ CHWW 2-0400000000100.264.369.426.794
09-09@ CHWW 4-2400000000000.266.371.429.800
09-08@ CHWW 9-3422200200100.268.373.432.805
09-06vs LAAW 1-0200000010100.266.373.428.801
09-05vs LAAL 6-1313001110000.267.373.429.803
09-04vs LAAW 1-0402100000100.263.369.420.790
09-03vs SFW 5-2310000010000.261.369.418.786
09-02vs SFL 5-4 F/10522100000000.263.369.420.790
09-01vs SFW 13-12531000001000.262.369.419.788
08-30@ STLW 5-4502000000200.262.369.421.790
08-29@ STLW 6-2411000010200.261.369.421.790