StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Brett Bateman

Toronto Blue Jays · CF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Day-To-Day · Right Knee · expected back 2026-09-22

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.2
09-20@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX0
09-16vs DET2
09-15vs DET2
09-14vs DET1
09-13vs BAL0
09-12vs BAL1
09-11vs BAL3
09-09@ ATH1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.2 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits7±1
Total Bases2±1.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.31+0.3
09-15Hits1.32−0.8
09-13Total Bases1.80+1.8
09-03Hits1.33−1.7
08-30Hits1.41+0.4
08-29Hits1.51+0.5
08-25Hits1.33−1.7
08-19Hits1.30+1.3
08-16Total Bases1.60+1.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TEXW 7-2331100020100.322.393.416.809
09-19@ TEXL 6-2401000000000.322.387.411.797
09-19@ TEXL 7-1400000000100.324.390.415.805
09-16vs DETW 5-1412000000100.333.400.428.828
09-15vs DETL 10-1412000000100.328.397.425.823
09-14vs DETL 6-5511000000100.323.395.423.818
09-13vs BALW 8-1310000120100.328.401.432.833
09-12vs BALW 7-3421001110200.336.401.443.844
09-11vs BALL 7-4513001200100.339.402.424.825
09-09@ ATHL 2-0401100000000.327.394.389.783
09-09@ ATHW 4-2401000000100.330.398.385.784
09-08@ ATHL 6-5400000010100.333.403.390.794
09-06@ KCL 6-1303000001000.347.412.406.818
09-05@ KCW 4-3401000010100.327.391.388.779
09-05@ KCW 9-2321000011000.330.390.394.784
09-03@ CLEW 6-3513000000100.330.380.396.776
09-02@ CLEW 11-0431000010000.314.368.384.752
09-01@ CLEL 6-1400000000200.317.367.390.757
08-30vs SEAW 7-0211100120110.333.384.410.794
08-29vs SEAW 4-3311000110100.329.366.395.761