StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Brandon Nimmo

Texas Rangers · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Day-To-Day · Illness · expected back 2026-09-22

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.9
09-19vs TOR1
09-19vs TOR0
09-18vs BOS0
09-17vs BOS1
09-16vs BOS1
09-13@ ARI2
09-13@ ARI2
09-12@ ARI0
09-10@ SEA0
09-09@ SEA2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits11±1
Total Bases6±1.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits1.00+1.0
09-17Hits1.00+1.0
09-16Hits1.01+0.0
09-15Hits1.11+0.1
09-04Total Bases1.40+1.4
08-28Total Bases1.10+1.1
08-24Total Bases1.20+1.2
08-19Hits1.10+1.1
08-12Hits1.20+1.2
08-04Hits1.03−2.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs TORW 6-2411000000200.260.325.407.732
09-19vs TORW 7-1310000020100.260.325.408.733
09-18vs BOSL 4-3400000000300.261.325.410.735
09-17vs BOSW 7-3411100100100.263.327.413.740
09-16vs BOSW 4-2411000000200.263.327.413.740
09-13@ ARIW 7-6402000100100.263.328.414.742
09-13@ ARIW 6-2512200100200.261.327.413.740
09-12@ ARIL 9-1200000020100.260.326.410.736
09-10@ SEAL 4-3400000000200.261.325.411.736
09-09@ SEAL 3-2402000000000.263.327.414.741
09-09@ SEAW 10-5500000000400.261.326.414.740
09-06vs TBW 8-6501000000000.264.329.417.746
09-05vs TBL 6-3 F/10400000000000.264.330.420.749
09-05vs TBL 7-6400000000100.266.332.423.755
09-04vs TBW 6-0300000010100.268.335.426.761
09-02vs ATHL 9-2201000010100.270.335.429.764
09-02vs ATHW 8-5504100500000.269.333.428.762
09-01vs ATHW 8-1312000200000.264.329.423.752
08-30@ MILW 7-4411000010200.261.328.421.749
08-29@ MILL 5-3413001200010.262.327.423.750