StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Austin Wells

New York Yankees · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20@ ARI1
09-20@ ARI2
09-19@ ARI1
09-16@ MIN0
09-14@ MIN1
09-13vs NYM1
09-12vs NYM0
09-11vs NYM0
09-10vs COL0
09-09vs COL0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.5 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits13±0.6
Total Bases1±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.51−0.5
09-12Hits0.40+0.4
09-10Hits0.50+0.5
09-08Hits0.60+0.6
08-20Hits0.61−0.4
08-19Total Bases0.90+0.9
08-18Hits0.60+0.6
08-07Hits0.61−0.4
08-05Hits0.51−0.5
08-03Hits0.52−1.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ ARIL 8-4301000010100.186.286.326.613
09-20@ ARIL 5-3312001110000.185.284.326.610
09-19@ ARIW 9-2301000010100.180.279.314.593
09-16@ MINL 5-4 F/13200000000000.179.277.313.590
09-14@ MINW 8-3411001100200.180.278.315.594
09-13vs NYMW 2-0311001100200.179.279.307.585
09-12vs NYML 12-2200000000000.177.278.297.575
09-11vs NYMW 6-4400000000100.179.280.299.578
09-10vs COLW 10-3120000030000.181.283.303.585
09-09vs COLW 6-1200000010000.182.277.304.581
09-08vs COLW 5-3300000000100.183.277.306.583
09-06@ SDL 4-3200000020100.185.279.309.588
09-05@ SDW 5-1310000010100.186.277.311.588
09-05@ SDL 3-2 F/10300000000200.188.277.314.591
09-03@ LAAW 6-3 F/10212000200000.190.280.317.597
09-02@ LAAW 7-3301000000010.184.275.313.588
09-01@ LAAL 10-1300000000100.182.275.312.587
08-30vs BOSW 16-1222002500000.184.277.316.593
08-29vs BOSW 9-2411000200000.179.274.289.563
08-29vs BOSL 6-0100000000100.178.274.290.564