StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Austin Hedges

Cleveland Guardians · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared underavg 0.5
09-19vs ATH1
09-16vs CHW0
09-12@ MIN1
09-12@ MIN1
09-07@ BAL1
09-05vs DET0
09-04vs DET0
09-03vs TOR1
08-30vs KC0
08-29vs KC0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.3 we project
Total Bases1.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits3±0.7
Total Bases1±3.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-05Hits0.60+0.6
08-29Hits0.60+0.6
08-04Hits0.80+0.8
07-24Total Bases1.15−3.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19vs ATHW 12-6411100100100.251.323.372.695
09-16vs CHWW 6-3310000010100.251.325.369.694
09-12@ MINL 4-3311100010100.255.326.375.701
09-12@ MINW 5-2301100000000.254.323.371.693
09-07@ BALL 6-4301000000000.253.323.366.689
09-05vs DETL 6-0200000010000.251.322.366.689
09-04vs DETW 4-3 F/10300000000200.254.322.370.693
09-03vs TORL 6-3201000210100.258.327.376.703
08-30vs KCW 11-1400000000200.255.322.375.697
08-29vs KCL 8-3300000000000.261.328.383.712
08-26@ LAAW 4-3300000000200.266.333.390.723
08-25@ LAAW 4-2411001200100.270.338.397.735
08-23@ COLW 7-2402000000000.271.340.382.723
08-19vs SFL 1-0301000000100.265.337.380.716
08-16vs SDL 5-0300000000100.264.337.380.717
08-13@ DETL 3-0200000000000.269.343.388.730
08-12@ DETW 6-4201000130000.272.346.392.739
08-08@ CHWL 6-3200000000000.269.333.391.724
08-07@ CHWW 8-2301000110000.273.337.396.733
08-06vs NYML 13-6000000000000.272.333.397.731