StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Andres Gimenez

Toronto Blue Jays · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

7/1070% cleared overavg 0.9
09-20@ TEX1
09-19@ TEX0
09-15vs DET0
09-14vs DET1
09-13vs BAL1
09-12vs BAL2
09-11vs BAL0
09-09@ ATH1
09-09@ ATH1
09-08@ ATH2

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.8 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.2 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits8±0.5
Total Bases1±0.1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-14Hits0.81−0.2
09-03Hits0.81−0.2
08-16Hits0.92−1.1
08-15Hits0.91−0.1
08-14Hits0.91−0.1
08-07Hits0.81−0.2
07-25Hits0.52−1.5
07-22Hits0.50+0.5
07-18Total Bases0.91−0.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ TEXW 7-2501000100100.242.287.356.643
09-19@ TEXL 6-2210000001000.242.288.358.646
09-15vs DETL 10-1300000000100.243.288.359.647
09-14vs DETL 6-5401000000200.245.290.362.651
09-13vs BALW 8-1401100100000.245.290.363.653
09-12vs BALW 7-3402100100100.245.290.362.652
09-11vs BALL 7-4400000100000.242.288.358.646
09-09@ ATHL 2-0401000000000.245.291.361.652
09-09@ ATHW 4-2301000010000.245.291.362.654
09-08@ ATHL 6-5412101200001.244.289.363.652
09-06@ KCL 6-1300000000000.242.288.352.639
09-05@ KCW 4-3301000010000.243.290.354.644
09-03@ CLEW 6-3501000000110.243.288.354.642
09-02@ CLEW 11-0312000000100.243.289.356.645
09-01@ CLEL 6-1200000001200.240.286.354.640
08-30vs SEAW 7-0401000200100.241.286.356.641
08-28vs SEAW 8-1401000100100.241.286.357.643
08-26vs KCW 3-0300000000000.241.286.358.644
08-25vs KCL 5-3302100001000.243.288.361.649
08-20@ TBW 5-1201000000020.240.284.356.640