StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Alika Williams

Athletics · SS · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the under 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 0.6
09-20@ CLE0
09-19@ CLE2
09-18@ CLE1
09-17@ TB0
09-15@ TB1
09-13vs SEA2
09-13vs SEA0
09-09vs TOR0
09-09vs TOR0
09-08vs TOR0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits0.6 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.1 we project
Total Bases1.1 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits13±0.8
Total Bases1±0.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits0.71−0.3
09-17Hits0.70+0.7
09-13Hits0.72−1.3
09-09Hits0.70+0.7
09-06Hits0.80+0.8
09-03Hits0.81−0.2
08-28Hits0.60+0.6
08-26Hits0.62−1.4
08-18Hits0.60+0.6
08-15Hits0.62−1.4

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CLEL 1-0200000000200.261.300.425.725
09-19@ CLEL 12-6412200000000.263.303.429.732
09-18@ CLEL 5-3201000000000.259.299.418.717
09-17@ TBL 10-1300000010100.256.297.417.714
09-15@ TBL 2-1301100000100.260.298.423.722
09-13vs SEAW 8-7312200010000.259.298.420.717
09-13vs SEAL 19-1400000000100.253.289.405.694
09-09vs TORW 2-0300000000000.258.294.414.708
09-09vs TORL 4-2300000000000.262.299.421.720
09-08vs TORW 6-5400000000000.267.304.428.731
09-06@ SEAL 2-0300000000200.273.310.438.748
09-06@ SEAW 6-2412000000000.277.315.445.760
09-05@ SEAW 7-6321001110010.272.311.444.755
09-04@ SEAW 7-4401000000100.271.307.428.735
09-02@ TEXW 9-2412101310100.272.308.432.740
09-02@ TEXL 8-5201000000100.266.299.405.704
08-30vs BALL 8-5301000000100.263.297.404.701
08-29vs BALL 4-3 F/10410000000100.261.296.405.702
08-27vs MINW 7-4412110200100.268.304.416.720
08-26vs MINW 4-2311100000000.262.299.393.692