StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Alex Bregman

Chicago Cubs · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Out · Face · expected back 2026-10-03

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits15±1
Total Bases1±1.6

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-16Hits1.13−1.9
09-13Hits1.31+0.3
09-12Hits1.21+0.2
09-11Hits1.13−1.9
09-06Hits1.20+1.2
09-03Hits1.31+0.3
08-25Hits1.20+1.2
08-23Hits1.30+1.3
08-22Hits1.31+0.3
08-19Hits1.20+1.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ CINW 9-1111000110000.262.352.452.804
09-19@ CINW 5-2400000010100.260.350.451.801
09-18@ CINL 6-4500000000000.262.351.454.805
09-16vs ATLW 8-4413111400000.264.354.458.812
09-15vs ATLL 6-3300000010100.261.352.445.797
09-14vs ATLW 7-3400000000000.262.352.448.800
09-13vs PITL 4-3301100010000.264.354.451.805
09-12vs PITW 4-3211000002000.264.353.450.803
09-11vs PITW 12-2423101200000.263.351.449.800
09-09@ MILL 8-6301100010100.260.349.440.789
09-08@ MILL 4-3 F/10500000000000.259.348.439.787
09-07@ MILL 4-3302000110000.262.350.443.793
09-06@ MIAL 10-3210000010000.259.348.442.790
09-05@ MIAW 6-5300000011100.260.348.443.791
09-04@ MIAW 6-1412000010000.262.347.446.793
09-03vs MILW 2-1301100000000.260.345.445.791
09-02vs MILL 9-5412001400000.260.346.444.790
09-01vs MILL 9-4411000000100.258.345.438.783
08-31vs MILW 17-3633003400000.258.345.440.785
08-30vs CINL 7-5411100000100.255.344.422.766