StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · C · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

9/1090% cleared overavg 1.3
09-19@ TEX2
09-19@ TEX1
09-15vs DET1
09-14vs DET2
09-12vs BAL2
09-11vs BAL0
09-09@ ATH1
09-09@ ATH1
09-08@ ATH2
09-05@ KC1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.2 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.8 we project
Total Bases1.8 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits4±0.8

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Hits1.12−0.9
09-12Hits0.92−1.1
08-30Hits1.12−0.9
08-23Hits1.21+0.2

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-19@ TEXL 6-2402000100000.282.353.424.776
09-19@ TEXL 7-1401000000100.279.351.422.773
09-15vs DETL 10-1401000100000.280.352.425.777
09-14vs DETL 6-5412000110000.280.353.428.781
09-12vs BALW 7-3412001300100.276.349.427.776
09-11vs BALL 7-4300000020100.273.347.413.760
09-09@ ATHL 2-0301000010100.276.346.418.764
09-09@ ATHW 4-2401000100100.275.343.419.763
09-08@ ATHL 6-5412001100000.276.345.422.767
09-05@ KCW 4-3511000000000.272.342.408.750
09-05@ KCW 9-2512100200000.274.345.413.758
09-02@ CLEW 11-0500000000200.271.344.408.752
09-01@ CLEL 6-1401000000200.277.351.418.769
08-30vs SEAW 7-0412001200000.278.353.421.774
08-29vs SEAW 4-3401000100210.273.350.405.755
08-27vs KCL 13-2411000000000.274.352.408.760
08-26vs KCW 3-0400000000000.274.354.411.765
08-25vs KCL 5-3200000000000.280.360.420.780
08-23@ NYYL 8-3401000100100.283.364.424.788
08-22@ NYYW 4-3411000010000.283.366.428.794