StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · 1B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared overavg 0.8
09-20vs WSH0
09-19vs WSH1
09-19vs WSH0
09-16vs SF1
09-15vs SF1
09-14vs SF2
09-13vs CHW1
09-12vs CHW0
09-12vs CHW2
09-09@ SF0

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.7 we project
Total Bases1.7 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits5±0.9
Total Bases4±1.4

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-18Hits1.00+1.0
09-12Hits0.90+0.9
09-06Total Bases1.24−2.8
09-05Total Bases1.21+0.2
08-27Hits1.22−0.8
08-20Total Bases2.01+1.0
08-19Hits1.21+0.2
07-26Hits1.23−1.8
07-24Total Bases1.70+1.7

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs WSHW 5-3400000000100.282.347.466.813
09-19vs WSHL 8-5 F/11201000000100.284.349.469.818
09-19vs WSHL 9-1300000000100.283.349.469.818
09-16vs SFL 6-5 F/10511100000200.284.350.471.822
09-15vs SFL 10-3311001100200.285.352.472.824
09-14vs SFW 2-1302000110100.285.352.467.819
09-13vs CHWW 3-1301100300000.283.349.466.816
09-12vs CHWL 6-5400000010200.282.349.465.815
09-12vs CHWW 7-3412100200000.284.350.469.819
09-09@ SFL 7-6210000020000.283.350.467.816
09-09@ SFL 2-1101000030000.284.349.468.817
09-08@ SFL 5-4 F/11521001100200.283.344.467.812
09-06@ COLW 10-8513100100000.283.345.464.810
09-06@ COLL 10-7501000000100.280.343.461.805
09-05@ COLW 7-6501000100200.281.345.464.808
09-04@ LADL 3-2200000000200.282.346.466.812
09-03@ LADW 8-6 F/10400000100100.283.347.468.815
09-02@ LADW 13-8500000000100.285.350.471.821
08-30vs PITL 5-4401000110010.288.353.476.829
08-29vs PITL 6-2300000010100.288.353.478.830