StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Alec Bohm

Philadelphia Phillies · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.3
09-20@ NYM2
09-19@ NYM2
09-18@ NYM0
09-17@ NYM1
09-16@ WSH2
09-15@ WSH1
09-13@ ATL2
09-12@ ATL2
09-11@ ATL0
09-10vs HOU1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.0 we project
RBIs0.6 we project
Total Bases1.3 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases3±1.5
Hits2±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-12Total Bases1.32−0.7
08-28Hits1.21+0.2
08-24Hits1.30+1.3
07-25Total Bases1.40+1.4
07-21Total Bases1.44−2.5

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20@ NYMW 7-2502000100000.253.317.390.707
09-19@ NYML 10-3302000210100.251.317.390.707
09-18@ NYML 6-3400000000000.249.314.388.702
09-17@ NYMW 3-0401000000000.251.316.391.707
09-16@ WSHW 3-0202000130000.251.316.392.709
09-15@ WSHL 6-3301000110000.248.310.390.701
09-13@ ATLW 9-4512100200000.248.309.390.700
09-12@ ATLL 12-2402000000000.246.308.388.697
09-11@ ATLL 6-5 F/11400000010100.244.307.388.695
09-10vs HOUL 2-1301100000000.246.308.391.699
09-08vs HOUL 6-5411100000200.246.308.389.697
09-07vs ATLW 1-0200000010100.246.308.388.696
09-06vs ATLL 5-4401100100100.247.308.390.698
09-05vs ATLW 4-2300000010100.246.309.389.697
09-04vs ATLL 5-2412101200100.248.309.391.700
09-02@ ARIW 7-1412100110200.246.308.382.690
09-01@ ARIW 2-1300000010000.244.305.379.684
08-30@ LAAW 5-2400000010100.245.305.381.687
08-30@ LAAW 4-2 F/10412000000000.247.306.385.691
08-29@ LAAW 5-3321000001000.245.305.384.688