MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

MIN atATH · 9:05 PM ET

Lawrence ButlerATH · vs MIN · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.06

0.5

+0.56

+ WinOver 0.5 · -180+0.54uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 64.3%

Trevor LarnachMIN · at ATH · Aug 26 · Final

0.61

0.5

+0.11

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Alika WilliamsATH · vs MIN · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.5% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Royce LewisMIN · at ATH · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

1.24

1.5

−0.26

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -115+0.87uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Byron BuxtonMIN · at ATH · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

1.17

1.5

−0.33

VoidUnder 1.5 · +1080.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 48.1%

Jonah HeimATH · vs MIN · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.48Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 33.9%

BAL atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

Jordan WalkerSTL · vs BAL · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.08

0.5

+0.58

+ WinOver 0.5 · -198+0.49uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.4%

Colton CowserBAL · at STL · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.68

0.5

+0.18

− LossUnder 0.5 · +125−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Jimmy CrooksSTL · vs BAL · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.50

0.5

0.00

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +104+1.04uat Novig

Actual results

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: 49.0%

Carlos NarvaezBAL · at STL · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.34

0.5

−0.16

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +115+1.15uat Novig

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Bryan TorresSTL · vs BAL · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

0.64

0.5

+0.14

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.7% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Samuel BasalloBAL · at STL · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.54

0.5

+0.04

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.54Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 36.2%

TEX atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

Brenton DoyleCWS · vs TEX · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.49

0.5

−0.01

− LossUnder 0.5 · +128−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 43.9%

LAD atATL · 7:15 PM ET

Michael Harris IIATL · vs LAD · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.17

0.5

+0.67

− LossOver 0.5 · -182−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 64.5%

Drake BaldwinATL · vs LAD · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.02

0.5

+0.52

+ WinOver 0.5 · -165+0.61uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 62.3%

Mike YastrzemskiATL · vs LAD · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

− LossUnder 0.5 · -110−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded -110 price needs about 52% to break even.

Actual results

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: 52.4%

Hunter FeducciaLAD · at ATL · Aug 26 · Final

0.93

0.5

+0.43

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.2% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Sean MurphyATL · vs LAD · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

0.54

0.5

+0.04

− LossUnder 0.5 · -110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.4% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -110 price needs about 52% to break even.

Actual results

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: 52.4%

MIL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

Luis LaraMIL · at NYM · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.87

0.5

+0.37

+ WinOver 0.5 · -148+0.66uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 59.7%

Jackson ChourioMIL · at NYM · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

1.63

1.5

+0.13

VoidUnder 1.5 · -1170.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.1% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -117 price needs about 54% to break even.

Actual results

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: 53.9%

KC atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

Ernie ClementTOR · vs KC · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.03

0.5

+0.53

− LossOver 0.5 · -192−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 65.8%

Nick LoftinKC · at TOR · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.69

0.5

+0.19

− LossUnder 0.5 · +140−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 43.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +140 price needs about 42% to break even.

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Jesus SanchezKC at TOR · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.58

0.5

+0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · +165−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +165 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 37.7%

John RaveKC · at TOR · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

− LossUnder 0.5 · +105−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 48.8%

George SpringerTOR · vs KC · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

1.09

1.5

−0.41

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -157+0.64uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 61.1%

Brett BatemanTOR · vs KC · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.40

0.5

+0.90

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.40Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 68.3%

Vinnie PasquantinoKC · at TOR · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.12

0.5

+0.62

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 1.12Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 59.7%

Alejandro KirkTOR · vs KC · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.10

0.5

+0.60

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 1.10Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 66.0%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR · vs KC · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.99

1.5

−0.51

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.99Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 67.7%

Tyler TolbertKC · at TOR · Aug 26 · Final

0.41

0.5

−0.09

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.41Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Jac CaglianoneKC · at TOR · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

2.34

1.5

+0.84

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 2.34Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 55.0%

COL atWSH · 6:45 PM ET

Ezequiel TovarCOL · at WSH · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.59

0.5

+0.09

− LossUnder 0.5 · +135−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +135 price needs about 43% to break even.

Actual results

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: 42.6%

Dylan CrewsWSH · vs COL · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

1.16

1.5

−0.34

− LossUnder 1.5 · -127−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 55.9%

Nasim NunezWSH · vs COL · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

0.55

0.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.1% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

BOS atMIA · 6:40 PM ET

Wilyer AbreuBOS · at MIA · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.95

0.5

+0.45

− LossOver 0.5 · -186−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 65.0%

Jarren DuranBOS · at MIA · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.88

0.5

+0.38

+ WinOver 0.5 · -147+0.68uat Novig

Actual results

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: 59.5%

Owen CaissieMIA · vs BOS · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.57

0.5

+0.07

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -107+0.92uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded -107 price needs about 52% to break even.

Actual results

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: 51.7%

PIT atSD · 4:10 PM ET

Ty FranceSD · vs PIT · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.97

0.5

+0.47

+ WinOver 0.5 · -160+0.63uat Novig

Actual results

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: 61.5%

Jake CronenworthSD · vs PIT · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.91

0.5

+0.41

+ WinOver 0.5 · -141+0.71uat Novig

Actual results

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: 58.5%

Freddy FerminSD · vs PIT · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.80

0.5

+0.30

+ WinOver 0.5 · +101+0.99uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 49.8%

Jacob GonzalezPIT · at SD · Aug 26 · Final

0.47

0.5

−0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Spencer HorwitzPIT · at SD · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

0.86

1.5

−0.64

− LossUnder 1.5 · -158−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 61.2%

Luis RengifoPIT at SD · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.88

0.5

+0.38

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.88Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Xander BogaertsSD · vs PIT · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.62Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 42.6%

PHI atSEA · 4:10 PM ET

Jhonny PeredaSEA · vs PHI · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

0.88

0.5

+0.38

+ WinOver 0.5 · +101+0.99uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 49.8%

CLE atLAA · 4:07 PM ET

Zach NetoLAA · vs CLE · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.18

0.5

+0.68

+ WinOver 0.5 · -156+0.64uat Novig

Actual results

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: 60.9%

Angel MartinezCLE · at LAA · Aug 26 · Final

Hits

1.01

0.5

+0.51

− LossOver 0.5 · -172−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 63.2%

Jose SiriLAA · vs CLE · Aug 26 · Final

0.44

0.5

−0.06

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Bryce TeodosioLAA · vs CLE · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

0.54

0.5

+0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +102+1.02uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.9% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +102 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 49.5%

Tyler HeinemanLAA · vs CLE · Aug 26 · Final

Total Bases

0.42

0.5

−0.08

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +114+1.14uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 46.7%

Wednesday · Aug 26

Today

MIN atATH · 9:05 PM ET

BAL atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

TEX atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

LAD atATL · 7:15 PM ET

MIL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

KC atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

COL atWSH · 6:45 PM ET

BOS atMIA · 6:40 PM ET

PIT atSD · 4:10 PM ET

PHI atSEA · 4:10 PM ET

CLE atLAA · 4:07 PM ET

Wednesday · Aug 26

MIN atATH · 9:05 PM ET

BAL atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

TEX atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

LAD atATL · 7:15 PM ET

MIL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

KC atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

COL atWSH · 6:45 PM ET

BOS atMIA · 6:40 PM ET

PIT atSD · 4:10 PM ET

PHI atSEA · 4:10 PM ET

CLE atLAA · 4:07 PM ET