MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

KC atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

Shohei OhtaniLAD · vs KC · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

1.21

0.5

+0.71

+ WinOver 0.5 · -205+0.48uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 67.2%

Jac CaglianoneKC · at LAD · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

1.06

0.5

+0.56

+ WinOver 0.5 · -135+0.74uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 57.4%

Nick LoftinKC · at LAD · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.69

0.5

+0.19

− LossUnder 0.5 · +123−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.7% chance of zero hits. The recorded +123 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.8%

Starling MarteKC at LAD · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +106+1.06uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +106 price needs about 49% to break even.

Actual results

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: 48.5%

Enrique HernandezLAD · vs KC · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.60

0.5

+0.10

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1150.00uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 48.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +115 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 46.5%

HOU atSF · 9:45 PM ET

Grant McCraySF · vs HOU · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.18

0.5

−0.32

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 50.0%

COL atARI · 9:40 PM ET

Lars NootbaarARI · vs COL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +180+1.80u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 37.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +180 price needs about 36% to break even.

Actual results

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: 35.7%

TB atATH · 9:40 PM ET

Junior CamineroTB · at ATH · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.90

1.5

−0.60

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -180+0.56u

Actual results

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: 64.3%

Ryan ViladeTB · at ATH · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.58

0.5

+0.08

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +180+1.80u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 37.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +180 price needs about 36% to break even.

Actual results

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: 35.7%

Carlos CortesATH · vs TB · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30u

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Donovan WaltonATH · vs TB · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.47

0.5

−0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +132+1.32u

Actual results

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: 43.1%

Carson WilliamsTB at ATH · Aug 10 · Final

0.29

0.5

−0.21

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Lawrence ButlerATH · vs TB · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.63

0.5

+0.13

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.63Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 34.5%

MIL atSD · 9:40 PM ET

Jackson MerrillSD · vs MIL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

1.30

0.5

+0.80

+ WinOver 0.5 · -138+0.71uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.0%

Fernando Tatis Jr.SD · vs MIL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

1.08

0.5

+0.58

− LossOver 0.5 · -172−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 63.2%

Luis CampusanoSD · vs MIL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.85

0.5

+0.35

VoidOver 0.5 · -1130.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 53.1%

TEX atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

Jose SiriLAA · vs TEX · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +101+1.01uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +101 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 49.8%

Oswald PerazaLAA · vs TEX · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.43

0.5

−0.07

− LossUnder 0.5 · +119−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 45.7%

PHI atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

Edmundo SosaPHI · at STL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +155−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Why Under? Our model estimates a 40.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +155 price needs about 39% to break even.

Actual results

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: 39.2%

Derek HillPHI · at STL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.33

0.5

−0.17

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +155+1.55uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 39.2%

César PrietoSTL · vs PHI · Aug 10 · Final

0.00

0.5

−0.50

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+0.98uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Brandon MarshPHI · at STL · Aug 10 · Final

Total Bases

1.13

1.5

−0.37

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -155+0.65uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 60.8%

Garrett StubbsPHI · at STL · Aug 10 · Final

0.13

0.5

−0.37

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Bryce HarperPHI · at STL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.92

0.5

+0.42

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.92Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 66.6%

Justin CrawfordPHI · at STL · Aug 10 · Final

Total Bases

1.13

1.5

−0.37

Actual: 2 total bases · Projection: 1.13Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 62.3%

BAL atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

Leody TaverasBAL · at MIN · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +155−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +155 price needs about 39% to break even.

Actual results

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: 39.2%

Austin MartinMIN · vs BAL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.44

0.5

−0.06

− LossUnder 0.5 · +170−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 37.0%

Carlos NarvaezBAL · at MIN · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.40

0.5

−0.10

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +102+1.02uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 49.5%

Gunnar HendersonBAL · at MIN · Aug 10 · Final

Total Bases

1.06

1.5

−0.44

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -120+0.83uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 54.5%

NYM atATL · 7:15 PM ET

Drake BaldwinATL · vs NYM · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

1.02

0.5

+0.52

+ WinOver 0.5 · -167+0.60uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 62.5%

Jorge PolancoNYM at ATL · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.36

0.5

−0.14

− LossUnder 0.5 · +115−1.00uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Luis Robert Jr.NYM at ATL · Aug 10 · Final

Total Bases

1.28

1.5

−0.22

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -150+0.67uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 60.0%

BOS atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

Caleb DurbinBOS · at TOR · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

1.05

0.5

+0.55

− LossOver 0.5 · -182−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 64.5%

Josh SmithTOR · vs BOS · Aug 10 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

− LossUnder 0.5 · +125−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Masataka YoshidaBOS · at TOR · Aug 10 · Final

Total Bases

1.28

1.5

−0.22

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -150+0.67uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Monday · Aug 10

Today

KC atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

HOU atSF · 9:45 PM ET

COL atARI · 9:40 PM ET

TB atATH · 9:40 PM ET

MIL atSD · 9:40 PM ET

TEX atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

PHI atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

BAL atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

NYM atATL · 7:15 PM ET

BOS atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

Monday · Aug 10

KC atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

HOU atSF · 9:45 PM ET

COL atARI · 9:40 PM ET

TB atATH · 9:40 PM ET

MIL atSD · 9:40 PM ET

TEX atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

PHI atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

BAL atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

NYM atATL · 7:15 PM ET

BOS atTOR · 7:07 PM ET