StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Kelsey Mitchell

Indiana Fever · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the over 2.5 — pick a split:

5/1050% cleared overavg 2.9
09-20vs WSH2
09-18@ TOR2
08-28vs CON4
08-23@ CHI4
08-22@ NY4
08-21@ DAL5
08-18@ TOR2
08-16@ ATL1
08-14vs DAL2
08-11vs NY3

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists3.1 we project
Points24.1 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast31.6 we project
3-Pointers Made2.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Assists6±0.9
3-Pointers Made6±1.7
Points2±4.9

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Assists2.92+0.9
09-183-Pointers Made2.37−4.7
08-28Assists3.24−0.8
08-23Assists3.14−0.9
08-22Assists3.04−1.0
08-183-Pointers Made2.64−1.4
08-163-Pointers Made2.62+0.6
08-143-Pointers Made2.21+1.2
08-113-Pointers Made2.24−1.8
08-08Assists3.12+1.1

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-20vs WSHL 93-773522021028-2040.03-1030.03-3100.01
09-18@ TORW 103-8533332220012-1770.67-1163.62-2100.02
08-28vs CONW 111-9131343410112-1963.24-944.46-1060.01
08-23@ CHIW 113-9035302421010-1952.66-966.74-580.02
08-22@ NYL 109-1023325041049-1560.03-650.04-666.72
08-21@ DALL 91-853537151019-1850.04-757.115-15100.04
08-18@ TORW 101-9524293210211-1668.84-666.73-3100.02
08-16@ ATLW 95-91 OT3620111019-2240.92-450.00-00.04
08-14vs DALW 98-873623220019-2142.91-714.34-580.01
08-11vs NYW 106-9231283320211-1668.84-4100.02-366.71
08-08@ CHIW 90-8636275221211-2250.03-933.32-2100.01
08-06vs LVL 86-84 OT39280420210-1855.62-450.06-875.03
08-02@ MINL 108-10035371310114-2166.76-875.03-475.01
08-01@ PORW 112-983626020029-2142.94-1233.34-4100.01
07-29@ SEAW 105-953528221029-1850.04-757.16-6100.05
07-26vs SPOL 129-12222284250211-1957.95-1145.51-1100.01
07-23vs CONW 123-882623421109-1656.33-650.02-366.71
07-19vs NYW 108-8830330110310-1471.44-666.79-1369.23
07-17vs SEAW 110-10734301000113-2552.03-837.51-1100.02
07-16vs GSL 88-753520141027-1643.83-560.03-3100.04