StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Tyler Allgeier Projections

ARI · RB · #22
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 9:13 PM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
39.2rush + rec yards projected vs DET
Season average 36.8 · Last five 33.2
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 28.9 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
02039597870LAC19SEA9SF49NYGStatIQ projection 39.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Oct 4, 2026@ @ NYG49
Sep 27, 2026@ @ SF9
Sep 20, 2026vs vs SEA19
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LAC70
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Tyler Allgeier
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Tyler Allgeier trending lately?33.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Tyler Allgeier, 39.2 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projects Tyler Allgeier for 39.2 rush + rec yards against DET in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Tyler Allgeier has averaged 33.2 yards over his last 5 games and 36.8 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 233 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Tyler Allgeier’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.9yards
average projection miss
233 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 9:13 PM
Recent form
33.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Tyler Allgeier vs DET?

StatIQ projects Tyler Allgeier for 39.2 yards rush + rec yards against DET in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Tyler Allgeier performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Tyler Allgeier has averaged 33.2 yards over his last 5 games and 36.8 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 233 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of ARI vs DET
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