StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Tyler Allgeier Projections

ARI · RB · #22
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
8.3receiving yards projected vs DET
Season average 8.8 · Last five 7.6
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 23 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0368119LAC9SEA10SF7NYGStatIQ projection 8.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Oct 4, 2026@ @ NYG7
Sep 27, 2026@ @ SF10
Sep 20, 2026vs vs SEA9
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LAC9
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Tyler Allgeier
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Tyler Allgeier trending lately?7.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Tyler Allgeier, 8.3 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Tyler Allgeier for 8.3 receiving yards against DET in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Tyler Allgeier has averaged 7.6 yards over his last 5 games and 8.8 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 526 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Tyler Allgeier’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
23yards
average projection miss
25 within
526 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
Recent form
7.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Tyler Allgeier vs DET?

StatIQ projects Tyler Allgeier for 8.3 yards receiving yards against DET in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Tyler Allgeier performed in receiving yards recently?

Tyler Allgeier has averaged 7.6 yards over his last 5 games and 8.8 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 526 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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