StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Tyler Allgeier Projections

ARI · RB · #22
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
1.8receptions projected vs DET
Season average 2.5 · Last five 2.2
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
012342LAC2SEA4SF2NYGStatIQ projection 1.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Oct 4, 2026@ @ NYG2
Sep 27, 2026@ @ SF4
Sep 20, 2026vs vs SEA2
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LAC2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Tyler Allgeier
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Tyler Allgeier trending lately?2.2 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Tyler Allgeier, 1.8 receptions

StatIQ projects Tyler Allgeier for 1.8 receptions against DET in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Tyler Allgeier has averaged 2.2 over his last 5 games and 2.5 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Tyler Allgeier’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
532 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
Recent form
2.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Tyler Allgeier vs DET?

StatIQ projects Tyler Allgeier for 1.8 receptions against DET in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Tyler Allgeier performed in receptions recently?

Tyler Allgeier has averaged 2.2 over his last 5 games and 2.5 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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