StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Amon-Ra St. Brown Projections

DET · WR · #14
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
vs CAR
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
85.1receiving yards projected vs CAR
Season average 76 · Last five 87
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0408011915967NO142BUF19NYJStatIQ projection 85.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NYJ19
Sep 18, 2026@ @ BUF142
Sep 13, 2026vs vs NO67
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Amon-Ra St. Brown
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Amon-Ra St. Brown trending lately?87 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 85.1 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown for 85.1 receiving yards against CAR in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 87 yards over his last 5 games and 76 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Amon-Ra St. Brown’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CAR
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
Recent form
87 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Amon-Ra St. Brown vs CAR?

StatIQ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown for 85.1 yards receiving yards against CAR in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Amon-Ra St. Brown performed in receiving yards recently?

Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 87 yards over his last 5 games and 76 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CAR vs DET
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