StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jared Goff Projections

DET · QB · #16
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CAR
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
271.8passing yards projected vs CAR
Season average 267.3 · Last five 266
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
092183275366206NO327BUF269NYJStatIQ projection 271.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NYJ269
Sep 18, 2026@ @ BUF327
Sep 13, 2026vs vs NO206
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jared Goff
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jared Goff trending lately?266 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jared Goff, 271.8 passing yards

StatIQ projects Jared Goff for 271.8 passing yards against CAR in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jared Goff has averaged 266 yards over his last 5 games and 267.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jared Goff’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CAR
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
266 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Jared Goff vs CAR?

StatIQ projects Jared Goff for 271.8 yards passing yards against CAR in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jared Goff performed in passing yards recently?

Jared Goff has averaged 266 yards over his last 5 games and 267.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CAR vs DET
the whole game
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