StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Mike Gesicki Projections

CIN · TE · #88
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
2.9receptions projected vs JAX
Season average 4 · Last five 3
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
013465TB0HOU3PITStatIQ projection 2.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT3
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU0
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Mike Gesicki
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Mike Gesicki done against JAX?3 per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Mike Gesicki, 2.9 receptions

StatIQ projects Mike Gesicki for 2.9 receptions against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Mike Gesicki has averaged 3 over his last 5 games, 4 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Mike Gesicki’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
3 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Mike Gesicki vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Mike Gesicki for 2.9 receptions against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Mike Gesicki performed in receptions recently?

Mike Gesicki has averaged 3 over his last 5 games, 4 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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