StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Mike Gesicki Projections

CIN · TE · #88
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
32.4receiving yards projected vs JAX
Season average 57.5 · Last five 42
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
02244668778TB0HOU37PITStatIQ projection 32.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT37
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU0
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB78
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Mike Gesicki
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Mike Gesicki done against JAX?18 yards per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Mike Gesicki, 32.4 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Mike Gesicki for 32.4 receiving yards against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Mike Gesicki has averaged 42 yards over his last 5 games, 57.5 yards per game this season (2026), and 18 yards across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Mike Gesicki’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
42 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Mike Gesicki vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Mike Gesicki for 32.4 yards receiving yards against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Mike Gesicki performed in receiving yards recently?

Mike Gesicki has averaged 42 yards over his last 5 games, 57.5 yards per game this season (2026), and 18 yards across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
See the full NFL slate