StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Mike Evans Projections

SF · WR · #5
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
vs SEA
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
3.6receptions projected vs SEA
Season average 4.2 · Last five 3.8
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
023576LAR3MIA3ARI5DENStatIQ projection 3.6
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Oct 4, 2026vs vs DEN5
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI3
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA3
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR6
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Mike Evans
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Mike Evans trending lately?3.8 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Mike Evans, 3.6 receptions

StatIQ projects Mike Evans for 3.6 receptions against SEA in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Mike Evans has averaged 3.8 over his last 5 games and 4.2 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Mike Evans’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
532 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SEA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
Recent form
3.8 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Mike Evans vs SEA?

StatIQ projects Mike Evans for 3.6 receptions against SEA in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Mike Evans performed in receptions recently?

Mike Evans has averaged 3.8 over his last 5 games and 4.2 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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