StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Sam Darnold Projections

SEA · QB · #14
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LAC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
225.3passing yards projected vs LAC
Season average 196 · Last five 201.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
010621231842413NE379WSHStatIQ projection 225.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ WSH379
Sep 10, 2026vs vs NE13
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Sam Darnold
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Sam Darnold trending lately?201.4 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Sam Darnold, 225.3 passing yards

StatIQ projects Sam Darnold for 225.3 passing yards against LAC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Sam Darnold has averaged 201.4 yards over his last 5 games and 196 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Sam Darnold’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LAC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
201.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Sam Darnold vs LAC?

StatIQ projects Sam Darnold for 225.3 yards passing yards against LAC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Sam Darnold performed in passing yards recently?

Sam Darnold has averaged 201.4 yards over his last 5 games and 196 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of LAC vs SEA
the whole game
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