StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projections

SEA · WR · #11
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LAC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
81.2receiving yards projected vs LAC
Season average 135 · Last five 112.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
04387130174122NE155ARI128WSHStatIQ projection 81.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ WSH128
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ARI155
Sep 10, 2026vs vs NE122
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jaxon Smith-Njigba trending lately?112.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 81.2 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 81.2 receiving yards against LAC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 112.2 yards over his last 5 games and 135 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LAC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
112.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs LAC?

StatIQ projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 81.2 yards receiving yards against LAC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jaxon Smith-Njigba performed in receiving yards recently?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 112.2 yards over his last 5 games and 135 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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