StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Brock Purdy Projections

SF · QB · #13
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DEN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
235.3passing yards projected vs DEN
Season average 263 · Last five 243.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
083166249333205LAR287MIA297ARIStatIQ projection 235.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI297
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA287
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR205
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Brock Purdy
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Brock Purdy trending lately?243.8 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Brock Purdy, 235.3 passing yards

StatIQ projects Brock Purdy for 235.3 passing yards against DEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Brock Purdy has averaged 243.8 yards over his last 5 games and 263 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Brock Purdy’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
243.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Brock Purdy vs DEN?

StatIQ projects Brock Purdy for 235.3 yards passing yards against DEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Brock Purdy performed in passing yards recently?

Brock Purdy has averaged 243.8 yards over his last 5 games and 263 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DEN vs SF
the whole game
See the full NFL slate